{"id": "f001", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "The party is at Greenest Crossing, two days unpaid for escorting a grain cart up from Hallows Ford. The factor who owes them has stopped coming to the door.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "DM-invented opening situation - the module gives the DM this beat entirely (the-sheep-finds-them, dm_owns)"}
{"id": "f002", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "The sheep understands spoken Common and answers being addressed as a person.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "the-sheep-finds-them", "note": "Seren spoke to it in Common without casting anything. It understood the question. No roll - this is what she plainly perceives."}
{"id": "f003", "s": 1, "op": "flip", "fact": "The sheep is a transformed wizard, not a beast.", "from": "true", "to": "suspected", "beat": "the-sheep-finds-them", "how": "it understood a question and was humiliated by its own reply"}
{"id": "f004", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Animals settle in Seren presence. It is not something she does on purpose and she has never noticed it.", "visibility": "true", "src": "play", "note": "SIGNATURE FEAT - Moonwell Presence, fired unannounced when she knelt. The sheep noticed. She did not. Unlock is her LEARNING, and that has not happened."}
{"id": "f005", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "A boy at the crossing watched the sheep single out Seren and ran west toward the village to tell someone.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Party can plainly see him go. They do not know who he is telling."}
{"id": "f006", "s": 1, "op": "flip", "fact": "The sheep is a transformed wizard, not a beast.", "from": "suspected", "to": "known", "beat": "the-sheep-finds-them", "how": "he told her, at length, the moment she could hear him"}
{"id": "f007", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Only Seren can understand him. Speak with Animals is Range: Self - Korth, Balthazar and Grumble hear a sheep making noise at a kneeling druid.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play"}
{"id": "f008", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Two men were at the ford yesterday morning asking after a lost sheep, politely, and bought a carter a drink over it.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Volunteered free by an NPC because the party was decent to him instead of fighting him. Front acting observably in the world - not a telegraph."}
{"id": "f009", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Shinebright was made into this shape two years ago by a person he trusted. The scroll does not name them.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "the-sheep-finds-them"}
{"id": "f010", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "There is a house on the Weft road, three miles east of Greenest Crossing, holding the only thing that can undo the transformation.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "FILL-LIST ITEM RESOLVED - module asked where Nokes house sits relative to the town. Three miles east, the Weft road. DM-invented."}
{"id": "f011", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "The scroll was dictated letter by letter on a slate over two evenings to someone who signed themselves M, and who did not believe him at first.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play"}
{"id": "f012", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Two men have come into the yard from the east and claim the sheep belongs to their employer. The large one does the talking and is scrupulously polite.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "nokes-agents-arrive"}
{"id": "f013", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "A wolf came in behind them and is SITTING at the edge of the yard, thirty feet back, wearing a wide leather collar with a pouch buckled to it. It is not on a lead.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "The tell is fully perceptible and un-narrated-around. Nobody has reacted to it yet, so the transmutation fact stays at true rather than suspected."}
{"id": "f014", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Guz cannot produce any proof of ownership at the crossing, and said so.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "nokes-agents-arrive"}
{"id": "f015", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Guz flatly refused to agree that the animal is inferior to a person, and would not explain why.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "DM CALL, declared: the module does not state whether Guz knows the household is transmuted. Ruled that he does - he works alongside them and his own loyalty fact turns on Noke not caring what he looked like. That makes fetching the animal home a much worse thing to be doing politely, which is the module engine. Written here rather than assumed silently."}
{"id": "f016", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Grumble said out loud that the wolf is sitting. He drew no conclusion from it.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Tell delivered, inference withheld. The transmuted-guards fact stays at true - the party has not suspected it yet and the DM will not flip it on their behalf."}
{"id": "f017", "s": 1, "op": "flip", "fact": "The animals with them are transmuted people and think like people.", "from": "true", "to": "suspected", "beat": "nokes-agents-arrive", "how": "Guz called the wolf off by name. Third tell after the sitting and the refusal to call it inferior."}
{"id": "f018", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Deal struck: the party walks east to the Weft road house with Guz and Pettil, and Shinebright stays in the partys custody for the walk.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "nokes-agents-arrive", "note": "NO CHECK. 2024 Influence - Pettil had already offered exactly this walk and never asked for custody, so the urging aligns with what he wants. Willing."}
{"id": "f019", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Grumble has entered Finethir Shinebright in the book as a client, debited five silver against him, and read it out loud in front of him.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "THE ACCOUNTS running in the direction the shape file warns about being neglected - the party is now a creditor of the man they are helping."}
{"id": "f020", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "The man in the good coat at the west end of the yard is Pell, the factor who owes the party eleven silver. The boy fetched him, which is why four minutes was enough.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Pays off Balthazars observation. He failed the Perception check on this man and learned nothing - the answer arrives because Pell chooses to walk over, not because anyone spotted it."}
{"id": "f021", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Pell paid the contract in full, eleven silver each, in the yard.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play"}
{"id": "f022", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "The party owes Pell a gift on their return. Seren promised it unprompted and Grumble entered it in the book against the party, not against a client.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "THE ACCOUNTS - first debt recorded in the direction that runs AGAINST the party. Both columns are now live, which is the shape files stated failure condition avoided."}
{"id": "f023", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Seren and Shinebright have a stomp code: one for yes. It was offered as a two-value code with the second value as a joke, and he used both.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "The only channel left after the spell expired. He hears everything; he can answer in stomps. Whether the party reads the second signal correctly is open and NOT yet resolved - candidate for a believe entry."}
{"id": "f024", "s": 1, "op": "believe", "fact": "Shinebrights double stomp was him joining in the joke.", "truth": "false", "note": "⭐ It was a registered dissent. One = yes, and two was the only other value the code had, so he used it to object - specifically to being walked to the front door and handed over, which is the one thing he told her outright was how Noke gets him back. She read it as banter and said sexy idiots back to him. He did not correct it. Nothing in the fiction will prompt this."}
{"id": "f025", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Seren gave Guz the remaining eight goodberries. Grumble entered it in the book as a debt Guz owes the party.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "THE ACCOUNTS doing structural work - goodwill converted into a recorded, callable debt instead of an untracked feeling. This is the feat replacing a die roll."}
{"id": "f026", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Guz did not eat the berries. He asked whether they work on any shape of thing, and then put them away for someone else.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Fourth tell. Still not confirmed aloud, so the transmuted-guards fact stays at suspected."}
{"id": "f027", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "The party split at the gate. Seren, Grumble and Shinebright to the door; Korth and Balthazar in the yard with Guz.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "noke-confronted"}
{"id": "f028", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "There are three kennels in the yard, sized for something much bigger than a dog. Outside one of them is a pair of mens boots, worn, placed neatly side by side, laces tucked in.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Fifth tell and the loudest. Plainly perceptible to anyone in the yard - no roll, and deliberately not narrated around. Still not stated aloud by anyone, so the transmuted fact stays at suspected."}
{"id": "f029", "s": 1, "op": "believe", "fact": "Noke is not dangerous - a sad, broke, badly-organised man and nothing more.", "truth": "false", "note": "⭐ Product of a FAILED Insight, 3+5=8 vs DC 15. The module says he is frightening AND pitiable and which lands first is a real choice; the bad roll made only the pitiable half land, firmly. He is holding a wand that discharges on its own and he has not slept in months. Nothing in the fiction will prompt her to revisit this."}
{"id": "f030", "s": 1, "op": "flip", "fact": "Nokes grievance is real. He was an apprentice for nineteen years and treated as a child by a man who could afford to wait and he could not.", "from": "true", "to": "known", "beat": "noke-confronted", "how": "he told them, in the hall, after Seren demanded courtesy for the sheep", "note": "LOAD-BEARING for the ending per elements/consequences.md. If the party never hears this, the final choice is much cheaper. They have now heard it."}
{"id": "f031", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Seren told Noke the stomp code out loud. Noke can now read Shinebright as well as she can.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Real cost, taken deliberately in the name of honesty. The partys only private channel to Shinebright is no longer private. Nobody in the fiction pointed this out."}
{"id": "f032", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "There is a transmuted person upstairs in the room with the boarded window. Noke goes up twice a day.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "noke-confronted"}
{"id": "f033", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "The wand needs a DC 21 Intelligence (Arcana) check to use. It was 17 when Noke took it and every success raises it by one, permanently. Failure by 1-5 turns the target into a gibbering mouther with no way back. Failure by 6 or more does that AND detonates the wand.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "the-choice", "note": "⭐ TELEGRAPH DELIVERED IN FULL, IN FICTION, BY NOKE, BEFORE ANYONE COMMITTED. The module says this is the one place the DM MUST act. Numbers given, not hinted."}
{"id": "f034", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Noke has never tried the wand on Tessa. The hundreds of pages on the desk are four months of him looking for another way, because a failure makes her a mouther and there is no saving her.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "noke-confronted"}
{"id": "f035", "s": 1, "op": "flip", "fact": "Animals settle in Serens presence. It is not something she does on purpose and she has never noticed it.", "from": "true", "to": "known", "how": "Noke said it out loud, unprompted, while watching a bear he has measured for four months", "note": "⭐ SIGNATURE FEAT UNLOCKED - Moonwell Presence. Condition was HER LEARNING, defined at session zero as the first time an NPC remarks on it unprompted. Noke is the best-qualified observer in the world for this and it happened without being aimed at. The feat was never invoked, never rolled, never spent."}
{"id": "f036", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Seren walked into Tessas room carrying the sealed vial of moonwell water in her hand, having left her shield and staff outside the door.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "The bond object leaves the equipment list and enters play for the first time. Still sealed."}
{"id": "f037", "s": 1, "op": "flip", "fact": "Tessa Marricks mind is fully intact. She has not been fading. Four months ago she stopped answering Noke because she chose to stop answering Noke.", "from": "true", "to": "known", "beat": "noke-confronted", "how": "Seren gave her a yes/no channel and asked. She used it on the first attempt.", "note": "⛔ DM CORRECTION UNDER DM.md 7 - THE MODULE WINS OVER MY INFERENCE. I invented Tessa fading. elements/polymorphed-guards.md is explicit that ALL transmuted creatures keep full intelligence and know exactly what has been done to them. Resolving the ambiguity as her going would have contradicted the modules core mechanic to buy pathos. She is there. Nobody had built her a channel in fourteen months - Noke said her name and measured the reply instead of offering her a way to give one."}
{"id": "f038", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Nokes four months of arithmetic were four months of a woman refusing to speak to him, which he read as her dying.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play"}
{"id": "f039", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Seren told Tessa what the vial is - the last of her destroyed moonwell - and said she has never shown it to anyone, including her own party.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "⭐ The bond object from the master sheet, the decision the player had explicitly never made, entered play by being SHOWN rather than opened, and shown to a transmuted stranger before her companions. Not prompted by the DM. PB remains untouched and uninvented."}
{"id": "f040", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Tessa Marrick has been scratching a roll of the household into the floorboards under the straw for fourteen months, and lying on it so Noke would not see. Nine names.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Answers elements/polymorphed-guards.md own open question - how long have they been like this and did any of them agree. The housekeeper kept the roll because somebody had to know who they were. Discovered because Seren was the first person to give her a channel and then leave her alone with it."}
{"id": "f041", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Tessa refused both offers. She wants the ones who never agreed restored first, and she wants to go last - which means she is asking for the worst number on the ladder.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "the-choice", "note": "Three taps. She has spent fourteen months on the floor doing the same arithmetic as Noke, from the other side of it."}
{"id": "f042", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Every success raises the DC by one and there are seven transmuted people. The ladder runs 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27. The wand cannot reach the end of its own list.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "the-choice", "note": "⭐ NOT A DM INVENTION - this falls straight out of elements/modified-wand.md applied to the roll Tessa carved into the floor. The module never states it because the module never counts the household. It is the strongest telegraph available and it was produced by arithmetic, not by narration."}
{"id": "f043", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Tessa can WRITE. She has claws and a floor and has been doing it for fourteen months. The tap code was never necessary.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "⭐ Nobody worked this out for most of the scene, including the DM offering the channel and the player refining it. Grumble spotted it while copying the list. The full-alphabet channel was under the straw the whole time."}
{"id": "f044", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Tessa says wait until morning - the others cannot be ASKED tonight without Speak with Animals - and warns them not to leave Noke alone with the wand.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "the-choice", "note": "She has listened to him for four months. Module ending D (Noke uses the wand on himself) is now telegraphed by an NPC who has cause to know, rather than by the narrator."}
{"id": "f045", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Tessa did not answer when asked not to hurt Noke. She was asked not to promise, and she did not.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play"}
{"id": "f046", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Noke used the stomp code Seren gave him to ask Shinebright whether the wand was really to be left to the college and not to him. Shinebright stomped once. Yes.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "noke-confronted", "note": "⭐ Direct consequence of f031 - she disclosed the code in the name of honesty and it gave Noke the conversation he had not been able to have in two years. Shinebright confirmed the fact WITHOUT reaching the realisation about himself, which the module puts at the very end if ever."}
{"id": "f047", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Noke left the wand in the study and went outside unarmed. Tessa took custody of it by lying on it, which is what she has done with everything she wanted kept from him for fourteen months.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Not hostile. She warned them he would use it on himself; he set it down and walked out, so she made sure he could not pick it back up. Seren effectively handed the wand to the one person in the house with a grievance, and it was the right call."}
{"id": "f048", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Five of the household - Marta, Pieter, Rush, Del and one more - are still out on the roads searching for the sheep and do not know it has been found. They have been out two nights. It is October.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Balthazar got it out of Guz in the yard by saying almost nothing for two hours. Sets tomorrows shape and gives the WAIT decision a cost."}
{"id": "f049", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "All seven transmuted people formally REFUSED consent, in writing, in order to keep the Wisdom save that only unwilling targets get - and then stood still to be cast on anyway.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "the-choice", "note": "⭐ Emergent. Not in the module. Produced by the party telling the truth about a rules asymmetry the DM had looked up rather than recalled. It is the reason Del is alive."}
{"id": "f050", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Asked whether he wanted to go first, Shinebright said Them first, immediately, and was irritable about being asked twice.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "the-choice"}
{"id": "f051", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Pieter Dunn was restored. He is Marta Dunns brother and she is still a wolf.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play"}
{"id": "f052", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "Del survived the botch and is still an ape. The wand is destroyed. Tessa, Aven, Marta, Rush, Little Bee and Finethir Shinebright remain transmuted permanently, barring a 9th-level caster.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "beat": "the-choice"}
{"id": "f053", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "The one thing nobody ever did was let Shinebright look at the modification. He is the only living person published on that iron band. He said it as a technical complaint and did not notice he had described his own career.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play", "note": "Closes the truncated-sentence thread from f0xx. Deliberately NOT the modules end-of-adventure realisation about his mastery - he still has not had that."}
{"id": "f054", "s": 1, "op": "establish", "fact": "The party still owes Pell a gift and has not returned to the crossing.", "visibility": "known", "src": "play"}